Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.594127 0.684374 0.782601 0.897308 1.027432 1.170306 1.338909
2025-08-03 0.444283 0.568524 0.717072 0.907062 1.142832 1.424975 1.787314
2025-08-10 0.354428 0.490567 0.665064 0.903605 1.219462 1.621394 2.169338
2025-08-17 0.291073 0.430203 0.619148 0.891994 1.272905 1.782291 2.510782
2025-08-24 0.244983 0.383668 0.581811 0.881930 1.320509 1.932510 2.844171
2025-08-31 0.204447 0.337823 0.537502 0.853454 1.334744 2.032638 3.110972
2025-09-07 0.189472 0.327935 0.543738 0.898207 1.457564 2.295402 3.630386
2025-09-14 0.162382 0.294500 0.508906 0.874471 1.471903 2.395902 3.913338
2025-09-21 0.139953 0.265416 0.476995 0.850703 1.481899 2.487820 4.186946
2025-09-28 0.122019 0.241481 0.450440 0.832048 1.496877 2.586545 4.476067
2025-10-05 0.112656 0.231692 0.446850 0.851686 1.576703 2.794919 4.956836
2025-10-12 0.107953 0.229959 0.457178 0.896435 1.702927 3.088662 5.599431
2025-10-19 0.100895 0.222987 0.457579 0.924040 1.802851 3.348068 6.208198
2025-10-26 0.092171 0.211519 0.448248 0.932586 1.869139 3.554502 6.741485
2025-11-02 0.083179 0.198168 0.433555 0.928912 1.911593 3.720562 7.213443
2025-11-09 0.074465 0.184142 0.415778 0.916989 1.936595 3.855706 7.637519
2025-11-16 0.066949 0.171692 0.399739 0.906664 1.963222 3.994831 8.077297
2025-11-23 0.058764 0.156467 0.375939 0.877448 1.948889 4.054303 8.369574
2025-11-30 0.057252 0.157044 0.386811 0.923363 2.092115 4.428016 9.290042
2025-12-07 0.050813 0.144473 0.366612 0.899011 2.085849 4.506206 9.636953
2025-12-14 0.045115 0.132917 0.347359 0.874625 2.076980 4.577763 9.974268
2025-12-21 0.040374 0.123152 0.331172 0.855483 2.077564 4.668011 10.354373
2025-12-28 0.038300 0.120360 0.331666 0.875633 2.167325 4.949635 11.145996